In terms of being predictive our Week 13 Report was 11-5 (.686) in Week 14. That brings the BES to a 44-17 (.721) combined record in the last four weeks. With three weeks remaining in the season, we are curious to see if this +70% accuracy holds until January and what, if any, accuracy it has predicting postseason victors.
The Patriots (11-2) top our rankings this week after both the Raiders (10-3) and Cowboys (10-3) suffered losses to divisional rivals. Minus superstar tight end Rob Gronkowski, the Patriots were impressive against a stout Ravens (7-6) defense in a 30-23 win Monday night. With a 3.24 BES Overall score, they now hold a commanding .10 point lead on the rest of the field. Their final three games features two on the road, including the season finale at the Dolphins (8-5).
The Chiefs (10-3) have defined themselves as a team that protects the football while capitalizing on opponent turnovers. Their Ball Security score of 2.96 and Takeaways score of 2.80 summarize what has fueled their current first-place hold on the AFC West. Meanwhile, electric Chiefs receiver Tyreek Hill has established himself as a premiere weapon on offense and special teams. As a rookie, Hill owns an impressive nine total touchdowns including a team-leading six as a receiver.
We’re sure it raised a few eyebrows when the Buccaneers (8-5) topped our Week 13 rankings in BES Defense with a score of 3.03. However, our data was supported by them holding an explosive Saints (5-8) offense to zero touchdowns and three field goals. As a result, the unit now owns a 3.13 in BES Defense and faces another challenge in Week 15 on the road against the Cowboys.
Another defense playing extremely well is that of the Steelers (8-5) who have seized control of the AFC North. The unit is No. 2 in BES Defense this week after allowing just 12.5 points per game over their last four contests. Fortifying that stat is a Point Suppression score of 3.27 that paces the other 31 teams in this week’s report.
The Steelers monstrous jump from No. 12 in our Week 13 report to No. 3 this week is indicative of the tsunami-like swell of momentum they are riding into the postseason. Their SOS of 2.61 is by far the highest among the top-10, adding credence to the notion of them being an exceptionally dangerous draw in the playoffs.
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