The BES Report An Innovative Look at NFL Team Performance
The Texans (5-5) were one of the latest adds to the BES Top-10 in our Week 11 rankings after going 4-1 in their last five games. Tied with the Colts (5-5) for first place in the AFC South, the Texans must overcome a somewhat daunting remaining schedule if they are to punch their own postseason ticket with a division title.
Here’s a quick snapshot at how the Texans compare with their final six opponents of the season:
At first glance, the Patriots (10-0) and Saints (4-6) stand out as the most difficult hurdles for Texans. The reason for that is both teams possess explosive offenses with Point Yield scores over 3.00. Fortunately for the Texans they will host both teams and can call on the home crowd to energize their defense.
The Patriots, however, boast a sixth-place ranking in BES Defense. The unit features linebacker Chandler Jones who has 10.5 sacks on the season, placing him second to Texans defensive end J.J. Watt (11.5 sacks) among league leaders. Therefore, the match-up will also call for the Texans offense to rise to the challenge.
The Texans close the season by running a three-week divisional gauntlet that takes them on the road in consecutive games against the Colts and Titans (2-8) before returning home to face the Jaguars (4-6). The Texans own a Takeaways score of 2.82 which could prove critical against an average Ball Security score of 2.05 for the trio of AFC South rivals.
Ultimately, if the Texans win at least four of their remaining six games, it might be enough to secure a previously unforeseen divisional crown after a rough 2-5 start.
